Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 5.995593 6.601625 7.247530 7.988069 8.814754 9.710460 10.756098
2025-11-30 5.078564 5.917846 6.870776 8.036612 9.429551 11.046691 13.075350
2025-12-07 4.302471 5.262263 6.412997 7.902897 9.793262 12.128113 15.255560
2025-12-14 3.664384 4.674504 5.944617 7.673642 9.988699 13.013317 17.316551
2025-12-21 3.224131 4.270797 5.644457 7.601718 10.355326 14.145887 19.854345
2025-12-28 2.951301 4.047816 5.545260 7.772119 11.055338 15.806750 23.367649
2026-01-04 2.714519 3.842093 5.438592 7.907731 11.709591 17.475055 27.140957
2026-01-11 2.483871 3.616219 5.272465 7.926858 12.179611 18.913809 30.768074
2026-01-18 2.263309 3.379702 5.061218 7.844767 12.469781 20.092045 34.134930
2026-01-25 2.067062 3.158931 4.848316 7.729682 12.681999 21.155095 37.453199
2026-02-01 1.895405 2.959110 4.646372 7.605313 12.854939 22.160226 40.810421
2026-02-08 1.746865 2.781995 4.462552 7.487846 13.018803 23.159024 44.302360
2026-02-15 1.622791 2.636583 4.321528 7.436263 13.307930 24.452417 48.662306
2026-02-22 1.546353 2.564369 4.297578 7.590614 13.999505 26.613646 55.230975
2026-03-01 1.444001 2.438348 4.167772 7.534915 14.278096 27.992877 60.362074
2026-03-08 1.334768 2.290918 3.986268 7.361124 14.298488 28.840086 64.441488
2026-03-15 1.255126 2.189833 3.879702 7.320181 14.583151 30.285489 70.213462
2026-03-22 1.211672 2.151157 3.885211 7.501721 15.358230 32.922937 79.476309
2026-03-29 1.166523 2.105379 3.872629 7.643948 16.064874 35.510481 89.170884
2026-04-05 1.111444 2.036176 3.808225 7.670013 16.513488 37.555571 97.850066
2026-04-12 1.049945 1.949778 3.702375 7.595746 16.720738 39.041616 105.283201
2026-04-19 0.990006 1.862023 3.586611 7.487805 16.834570 40.309390 112.364260
2026-04-26 0.933854 1.777824 3.471467 7.369714 16.909221 41.487494 119.448014